Trump Media Technology Stock Performance
| DJT Stock | 10.63 0.67 6.73% |
The entity has a beta of 1.68, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Trump Media will likely underperform. Trump Media Technology right now has a risk of 6.83%. Please validate Trump Media value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Trump Media will be following its existing price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Trump Media Technology has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable forward-looking indicators, Trump Media is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 6.73 | Five Day Return 2.31 | Year To Date Return (22.80) | Ten Year Return (78.98) | All Time Return (78.98) |
1 | Trump Media surges 35 percent on 6B merger news | 12/18/2025 |
2 | Trump Media Stock Gains After-Hours As On-Chain Data Shows Company-Linked With President Purchased Bitcoin Worth 40 Million | 12/23/2025 |
3 | Trump Media Technology Group and TAE Technologies CommenceSite Selection Planning Process for Pioneering Fusion Power Plant | 01/06/2026 |
4 | Trump Family Crypto Haul Hits 1.4B as DJT Trades as 14.67 | 01/20/2026 |
5 | Trump Media Shelf Registration Raises Dilution Questions For Truth Social Investors | 01/21/2026 |
6 | If you invested 1,000 in Official Trump, heres how much youd be down one year later | 01/23/2026 |
7 | Trump Media Technology Group Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Weakness | 02/04/2026 |
8 | Trump Media Technology Group Sets New 12-Month Low Heres What Happened | 02/18/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -618.6 M |
Trump Media Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,154 in Trump Media Technology on November 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (91.00) from holding Trump Media Technology or give up 7.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. Trump Media Technology is generating 0.0605% of daily returns assuming volatility of 6.8311% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 61% of stocks are less volatile than Trump, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Trump Media Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Trump Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.63 | 90 days | 10.63 | about 84.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trump Media to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.57 (This Trump Media Technology probability density function shows the probability of Trump Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Trump Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Trump Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trump Media Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Trump Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trump Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trump Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trump Media Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trump Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0003 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Trump Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trump Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trump Media Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trump Media had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Trump Media has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.62 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (400.86 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.19 M. | |
| Trump Media generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Trump Media Technology Group Sets New 12-Month Low Heres What Happened |
Trump Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trump Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trump Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trump Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 169.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 776.8 M |
Trump Media Fundamentals Growth
Trump Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trump Media, and Trump Media fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trump Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0932 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0559 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (59.26) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 3.68 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 276.5 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.11 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 758.25 X | ||||
| Revenue | 3.62 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.19 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (394.42 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (400.86 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 13.26 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.14 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (60.98 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.42) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.79 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 938.29 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (2.95 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 766.96 M | ||||
About Trump Media Performance
Assessing Trump Media's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Trump Media's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Trump Media is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.58) | (0.61) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.23) | (0.22) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.49) | (0.52) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.39) | (0.41) |
Things to note about Trump Media Technology performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trump Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Trump Media Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trump Media had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Trump Media has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.62 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (400.86 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.19 M. | |
| Trump Media generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Trump Media Technology Group Sets New 12-Month Low Heres What Happened |
- Analyzing Trump Media's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trump Media's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Trump Media's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Trump Media's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trump Media's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trump Media's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Trump Media's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Trump Stock Analysis
When running Trump Media's price analysis, check to measure Trump Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trump Media is operating at the current time. Most of Trump Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trump Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trump Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trump Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.